Imagine if computers could learn and think. If machines were truly 'intelligent.' If software was more flexible and adaptable to work the way you want it to. If you could converse with your computer in plain English. If your business could operate more efficiently and effectively, with lower cost and higher customer satisfaction, by using more intelligent IT systems.
This optimistic vision is rapidly moving closer to reality. The foundational knowledge and technology to build computers with human-level learning and thinking ability are now finally emerging. Recent advances in computer technology combined with insights from fields as varied as psychology, philosophy, evolution, brain physiology, and information theory allow us to finally solve the previously intractable problems of creating real AI. The long-promised power of truly intelligent machines will soon be available to help us solve the many problems facing mankind.
We expect skepticism. Haven't we been promised real artificial intelligence for 30 years or more? Yet all we see around us are 'stupid' computer programs that don't understand what we actually want to do, and respond with cryptic error messages when things go wrong. What is more, they cannot adapt to changing circumstances or requirements, and they don't learn from their mistakes.
A new approach to AI, called 'artificial general intelligence', or AGI, has emerged. It promises to finally overcome the limitations of traditional AI, and usher in a new era of vastly superior computer systems and tools.
Computer systems based on AGI technology ('AGIs') are specifically engineered to be able to learn. They are able to acquire a wide range of knowledge and skills via learning similar to the way we do. Unlike current computer systems, AGIs do not need to be programmed to do new tasks. Instead, they are simply instructed and taught by humans. Additionally, these systems can learn by themselves both implicitly 'on-the-job', and explicitly by reading and practicing. Furthermore, just like humans, they resiliently adapt to changing circumstances.
This general ability to learn through natural interaction with the environment as well as from teachers, allows them to autonomously expand and adapt their abilities over time they become ever more knowledgeable, smarter, and more useful.
In addition to their intrinsic learning ability, AGIs are also designed to function in a goal-directed manner. This means that they automatically focus their attention on information and activities that are likely to help solve problems they have been given. For example, an AGI trained and instructed to look for inconsistencies in arthritis medication studies will spend its time perusing relevant articles, news, and background information, and request pertinent additional information or clarification from other researchers. On the other hand, an AGI assigned to be a personal assistant will seek out knowledge and skills necessary for that job, such as learning how to deal with various types of business associates, schedules, priorities, and travel arrangements, as well as the personal preferences of its boss.
AGIs learn both conceptually and contextually. Conceptual learning implies that knowledge is assimilated in a suitably generalized and abstract form: Skills acquired for one task are available for similar, but non-identical tasks, while at the same time making the system much more useful and robust when coping with environmental changes. Context, on the other hand, allows the system to utilize relevant background information to appropriately tailor its responses to each specific situation. It can take into account such crucial factors as recent actions and events, current goals and priorities, who it is communicating with, and anything else that affects its current actions.
Other central AGI features include an ability to anticipate events and outcomes, and the ability to introspect to be aware of its own cognitive states (such as novelty, confusion, certainty, its level of ability, etc). These design features, combined with the fact that AGIs directly perceive their environments via built-in senses, endow them with human-like understanding of facts and situations.
In contrast, systems based on conventional AI technology provide little or no learning capability beyond their initial one-time training phase (if any). Traditional computer programs are designed for specific applications, and are incapable of being used for any other purpose. In fact, even within their given domain any new requirements or changes to their operating environment require costly program changes.
To use a human analogy to highlight the difference, imagine an entirely unschooled person. If we wanted to put them to work on an assembly line, we could instruct them with a very detailed script for a specific set of actions; in other words, rote learning, with no real understanding (like programming an 'expert system'). Or, we could take on the much more difficult task of teaching them to read and write, to think logically and to learn. This would enable them to learn and re-learn any number of jobs in the factory and elsewhere; and to perform them much more intelligently with understanding. This is the AGI approach. Furthermore, an educated person (or AGI) can also manage other entities with low-level skills, or those that possess highly specialized knowledge, thereby greatly increasing their own productivity.
In summary, an AGI's ability to learn implies a number of advantages over conventional AI technology: It can be taught, instead of having to be programmed; it learns from experience and can learn by itself; it can deal with ambiguity and unknown situations, know when to ask for help, and recover from errors resiliently and autonomously.
Note that all these advantages are in addition to computer systems' natural strengths: large 'photographic' memories, high speed, accuracy, upgradeability, seamless interfacing with other systems, etc. Another key feature of such trainable/ trained systems is that, unlike skilled humans, they can be duplicated, and efficiently pool knowledge and experience. These capabilities allow for rapid up-scaling of production. For example, various AGIs, after having been trained in particular specialties, could pool their knowledge and then be duplicated hundreds of times imbuing each one of them with their combined knowledge. From there on these AGIs can pursue coordinated, yet individual paths, while regularly updating each other.
Adaptive A.I. Inc. is a small but innovative company that was founded in 2001 with the express purpose of developing and commercializing AGI technology. After an initial three-year research phase, the company is now engaged in an ambitious multi-year development project to actually build a fully functioning AGI with human-level cognitive ability.
While the system's initial cognitive ability will roughly match that of a child, in many respects it will be much more capable. As indicated above, it will have encyclopedic knowledge, the patience and self-discipline of a saint, and enjoy the accuracy, memory and speed of a computer.
Because an AGI is not a copy of a human mind but something completely new, one must expect different mannerisms - like someone from a different culture and background, only more so. Their natural environment is that of computer data, software tools, network resources, and the Internet. They will interact with people via voice and text.
Our company's approach calls for the extensive leveraging of existing technology instead of re-inventing, we aim to capitalize on existing hardware and software components, as well as published theoretical research. We believe that to a large extent, the 'pieces of the puzzle' for achieving AGI already exist. Our ingenuity is applied primarily to finding, selecting, and intelligently integrating existing know-how, while inventing and developing the crucial missing pieces.
Given its enormous commercial potential, one may wonder why AGI isn't a well-known, well-funded area of research and development. This is an interesting question.
Several contributing factors seem to be accidents of history. Firstly, we now find ourselves in the depth of the AI winter a period of deep pessimism and lethargy towards AGI ambitions following the spectacular failure of early AI promises. In backlash to unfulfilled expectations of 30 and 40 years ago, Artificial Intelligence is still a swearword to many. Without delving into detailed analysis of these early failures, suffice it to say that hardware and software technologies and cognitive theories had simply not advanced sufficiently to enable the creation of human-level artificial intelligence.
However, while limitations of early technology were a definite handicap, several other theoretical and practical limitations, errors, and blind spots were and are even bigger impediments. These include the following: